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Lake Padden

Mountain bike trail conditions · Bellingham, WA 48.697° N  122.442° W   525 FT Verified

PRIME: Rideable now

Rain returns in ~3 days.

Recent rain
0.3″ of rain, 3d ago
Next rain
~3d
Today
69°Fcloudy
Last 10 daysoldest to newest

Updated Aug 26, 2026, 19:03 UTC. Modeled hourly. Official closures and current trail conditions take priority.

Is Lake Padden rideable today?

Yes. The live verdict is PRIME, rideable now. 0.3″ of rain, 3d ago.

Trail outlook

0.1″
0.2″
0.1″
0.3″
FORECAST
PRIME 7d 2026-08-19: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
PRIME 6d 2026-08-20: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
PRIME 5d 2026-08-21: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
PRIME 4d 2026-08-22: 0.10 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
CAUTION 3d 2026-08-23: 0.20 inches of rain, representative trail outlook CAUTION
PRIME 2d 2026-08-24: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
PRIME 1d 2026-08-25: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
69° PRIME Today 2026-08-26: 0.00 inches of rain, Cloudy, representative trail outlook PRIME
72° PRIME THU 2026-08-27: 0.00 inches of forecast rain, Cloudy, representative trail outlook PRIME
66° PRIME FRI 2026-08-28: 0.10 inches of forecast rain, Light rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
63° CAUTION SAT 2026-08-29: 0.30 inches of forecast rain, Rain, representative trail outlook CAUTION
58° PRIME SUN 2026-08-30: 0.00 inches of forecast rain, Overcast, representative trail outlook PRIME
Measured rain Forecast rain Above soft threshold (0.5″)
Over the tracked history, Lake Padden has been rideable on 9 of the last 10 days, and under a caution advisory on 1. Daily trail markers are representative daytime outlooks. Weather is one input. The rideability verdict also accounts for soil, terrain, canopy, and drying time.

Why Lake Padden dries this way

Lake Padden (Bellingham, WA) rides on loam soil that drains well over terrain that drains at an even, moderate pace. Heavy tree cover holds the damp in, so it stays wet longer than the sky overhead would suggest. Loam reads that exact ground against live weather, rather than leaning on a regional forecast that can’t tell you what the dirt is doing. At 525 ft, Lake Padden rides ESE-facing ground that catches morning sun, so the surface firms up earlier in the day; the gentle grade, around 3° on average, drains slowly enough that low spots stay soft after a storm.

Network profile

Soil
Loamdrains well
Drainage
Moderateeven drying
Tree cover
81%Dense
Elevation
525 ft
Average grade
Predominant aspect
ESE-facing
How these factors affect drying

SoilLoam

Loam balances drainage with water retention, so it typically takes a day or two to dry after meaningful rain.

CanopyDense 81%

Heavy tree cover shades the soil and blocks wind, so these trails dry slowly and can hold morning damp even after dry days.

TerrainModerate

Terrain here drains at a moderate pace. It neither sheds nor holds water strongly.

Around Lake Padden

FAQ

Can you ride Lake Padden right now?

As of the latest update, Lake Padden is Rideable now (PRIME). Rain returns in ~3 days. 0.3″ of rain, 3d ago.

Is Lake Padden muddy right now?

No. The current verdict is PRIME, which means the model reads the surface as dry. 0.3″ of rain, 3d ago.

What is the soil and trail surface like at Lake Padden?

Lake Padden sits on loam soil that drains well. Loam balances drainage with water retention, so it typically takes a day or two to dry after meaningful rain.

How long does Lake Padden take to dry after rain?

Lake Padden usually needs about a day or two to dry after meaningful rain. Its terrain drains at a moderate pace. Heavy tree cover slows drying further.

Can you ride Lake Padden after rain?

Usually yes, once the surface has had time to firm up, typically a day or two after meaningful rain. Rather than counting days, check the live verdict above: it already accounts for how much rain actually fell here and how fast this exact ground, with its slope and tree cover, gives back a firm, dry surface.

Does Lake Padden get snow in winter?

Yes. At 525 ft, Lake Padden typically sees winter snow and freeze-thaw that can pause riding. Loam flags a FROZEN state when the ground is snow-covered or frozen, then clears it as things thaw and dry.

What's the terrain and elevation like at Lake Padden?

Lake Padden sits at roughly 525 feet, faces mostly ESE, and averages a 3° grade with about 81% tree cover. That makes it a morning-sun network that firms up early in the day, and the gentle grade means it leaves low spots soft after storms. Loam models this exact ground against live weather rather than using one regional forecast.

When is the best time of year to ride Lake Padden?

The reliable season at Lake Padden runs late spring through fall: at around 525 feet it holds real winter snowpack, and freeze-thaw makes the shoulder seasons hit or miss. Loam flags FROZEN days and posts a live verdict, so the calendar never has to be the tiebreaker.

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