What these numbers can tell you
Rider agreement compares the estimate with what riders reported. The weather cross-check compares forecast sources. Neither is a direct measurement of the trail surface, and neither establishes accuracy for every network or season.
Rider agreement
Loam compares rider feedback with the verdict shown. An in-app report after a ride carries more weight than an anonymous web report. The percentage below reflects those weights.
By verdict
How often each verdict word held up against a rider's report, over the trailing 90 days.
| PRIME | Not enough reports yetn = 26 |
Weather cross-check
Loam scores trails from Open-Meteo's forecast. Over the trailing 7 days, that forecast's rain is compared against WeatherKit's independent reading for the same place and hour, across 244 networks.
What this does not measure
- Rider agreement is self-reported by riders who chose to answer. It is not a random sample of every ride, and riders who had a surprising ride may be more likely to report.
- The sample sizes above are small relative to the number of verdicts Loam serves. A percentage backed by fewer than 30 reports is withheld rather than shown, but even above that line, a few dozen reports can shift the number meaningfully.
- There is no independent, on-the-ground trail-surface measurement in this comparison yet. The rider-agreement numbers compare against what a rider said they found, not a physical measurement of the trail; the weather cross-check compares two forecast sources, not ground truth rain.
- These numbers are not adjusted for network, season, or region. A hard month for one climate can move the aggregate without meaning much for a specific trail.
What the Verified mark means
Verified identifies a network whose location and terrain have been independently checked. It does not verify today's trail condition. Soil stations, satellite readings, and rain gauges are other model checks; the published results above describe only the comparisons and samples shown here.