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Thetis Lake Regional Park

Mountain bike trail conditions · Victoria & South Island, BC, Canada 48.472° N  123.485° W   276 FT Verified

DRY: Rideable

Friday, November 6th at 2am Conditions turn Caution.

Recent rain
0.3″ of rain, 6d ago
Today
53°Fovercast
  • Mon 10/26, no measurable rain, daily high 55 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF then CAUTION then DRY
  • Tue 10/27, 0.10 inches of rain, daily high 54 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY then CAUTION
  • Wed 10/28, no measurable rain, daily high 52 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: CAUTION then DRY
  • Thu 10/29, 0.15 inches of rain, daily high 50 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Fri 10/30, 0.26 inches of rain, daily high 46 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY then STAY OFF then CAUTION then STAY OFF then CAUTION
  • Sat 10/31, no measurable rain, daily high 52 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Sun 11/1, no measurable rain, daily high 51 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Mon 11/2, no measurable rain, daily high 50 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Tue 11/3, no measurable rain, daily high 55 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Wed 11/4, no measurable rain, daily high 51 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Today, Thu 11/5, no measurable rain, daily high 53 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Fri 11/6, 0.25 inches of rain, daily high 58 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY then CAUTION then DRY
  • Sat 11/7, 0.75 inches of rain, daily high 57 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF then CAUTION then STAY OFF
  • Sun 11/8, 0.19 inches of rain, daily high 52 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Mon 11/9, no measurable rain, daily high 51 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF then CAUTION then DRY, forecast preview, beyond the free window
  • Tue 11/10, no measurable rain, daily high 50 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY, forecast preview, beyond the free window
Updated

Updated Thursday, November 5th, 2026 at 12:48 UTC. Verdict last changed: Thursday, November 5th. Official closures and current trail conditions take priority.

Modeled hourly. Closures and local conditions take priority.

This forecast covers the Thetis Lake Regional Park mountain bike trails, sampled on Erihaven. The Capital Regional District provides trail maps and access information. Official trail information

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Is Thetis Lake Regional Park rideable today?

Loam's modeled verdict is DRY. Check official access, operating hours, and closures before riding. 0.3″ of rain, 6d ago.

CHANGED
Saturday, October 31st at 12am
Dried back to DRY.
Friday, October 30th at 6pm
Dried back to CAUTION.
Friday, October 30th at 6am
Rain moved in. Verdict dropped to STAY OFF.
Over the tracked history, Thetis Lake Regional Park has been rideable on 9 of the last 10 days, and too wet to ride on 1. Loam also considers soil, slope, tree cover, and drying time.

Soil and terrain at Thetis Lake Regional Park

Thetis Lake Regional Park is a mountain bike trail network in Victoria & South Island, BC, Canada. Soil survey coverage is unavailable at the sampled location. Dense tree cover can reduce sun and wind exposure, slowing drying. Terrain data indicates an elevation of about 276 ft, an average terrain slope of 2.7° and a predominant E-facing aspect. Terrain slope does not measure the trail tread or its drainage features. Loam models conditions across the network; individual trails and constructed surfaces can differ from these environmental inputs. Official closures and conditions on the ground take priority.

How we check ourselves

How these factors affect drying

SoilNot surveyed

Soil survey data does not reach this spot, so the drying model assumes middle-of-the-road ground rather than guessing at a soil type. Other inputs still inform the model, but expect the drying estimate here to be less precise than at networks with surveyed soil.

CanopyDense 100%

Dense tree cover can reduce sunlight and wind at ground level, slowing drying. Its effect depends on weather and local openings.

TerrainGentle

Gentle terrain can allow water to linger, but slope alone does not establish whether water pools on a trail.

FAQ

Can you ride Thetis Lake Regional Park right now?

The current estimate for Thetis Lake Regional Park is DRY: rideable. Rideable now. Rain returns in ~2 days. 0.3″ of rain, 6d ago.

Is Thetis Lake Regional Park muddy right now?

Loam currently estimates dry conditions (DRY). 0.3″ of rain, 6d ago.

What is the soil and trail surface like at Thetis Lake Regional Park?

Soil survey coverage is unavailable at the sampled location. Loam uses a middle estimate for soil drainage. Constructed trail surfaces may differ.

How long does Thetis Lake Regional Park take to dry after rain?

Thetis Lake Regional Park has no fixed drying time. Rainfall, soil moisture, shade and the weather that follows all matter. Check the current estimate and wait until the trail surface is firm.

Can you ride Thetis Lake Regional Park after rain?

Drying time depends on how much rain fell and the weather that follows. Wait until the surface is firm. Check the current estimate before heading out, and turn back if your tires leave ruts.

What does a frozen condition mean at Thetis Lake Regional Park?

FROZEN means Loam estimates snow cover or frozen ground. It does not establish that riding is allowed or that every trail is frozen. Check posted winter access rules and watch for soft ground as temperatures rise.

What's the terrain and elevation like at Thetis Lake Regional Park?

Terrain data indicates an elevation of about 276 ft, an average terrain slope of 2.7° and a predominant E-facing aspect. Terrain slope does not measure the trail tread or its drainage features.

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Network profile

Network profile

Soil
Not surveyedmiddle estimate · modeled
Terrain
Gentleterrain slope
Tree cover
100%Dense
Elevation
276 ft
Average grade
2.7°
Predominant aspect
E-facing

Around Thetis Lake Regional Park

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