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Estrella Mountain Regional Park

Mountain bike trail conditions · Phoenix & Scottsdale, AZ 33.346° N  112.357° W   1,342 FT Verified

DRY: Rideable

Tuesday, November 10th Drying to Dusty.

Recent rain
2.0″ of rain, 3d ago
Today
77°Fpartly cloudy
  • Mon 10/26, no measurable rain, daily high 82 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Tue 10/27, no measurable rain, daily high 84 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY then DUSTY
  • Wed 10/28, no measurable rain, daily high 82 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DUSTY
  • Thu 10/29, no measurable rain, daily high 78 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DUSTY
  • Fri 10/30, 0.38 inches of rain, daily high 73 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DUSTY then DRY then CAUTION then DRY
  • Sat 10/31, 1.05 inches of rain, daily high 76 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY then STAY OFF then CAUTION then STAY OFF
  • Sun 11/1, 1.06 inches of rain, daily high 70 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Mon 11/2, no measurable rain, daily high 71 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF then CAUTION then DRY
  • Tue 11/3, no measurable rain, daily high 76 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Wed 11/4, no measurable rain, daily high 74 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Today, Thu 11/5, no measurable rain, daily high 77 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Fri 11/6, no measurable rain, daily high 79 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Sat 11/7, no measurable rain, daily high 78 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Sun 11/8, no measurable rain, daily high 80 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Mon 11/9, no measurable rain, daily high 80 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY, forecast preview, beyond the free window
  • Tue 11/10, no measurable rain, daily high 78 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY, forecast preview, beyond the free window
Updated

Updated Thursday, November 5th, 2026 at 12:46 UTC. Verdict last changed: Thursday, November 5th. Official closures and current trail conditions take priority.

Modeled hourly. Closures and local conditions take priority.

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Is Estrella Mountain Regional Park rideable today?

Yes. The live verdict is DRY, rideable now. 2.0″ of rain, 3d ago.

CHANGED
Monday, November 2nd at 8pm
Dried back to DRY.
Monday, November 2nd at 4pm
Dried back to CAUTION.
Saturday, October 31st at 7pm
Rain moved in. Verdict dropped to STAY OFF.
Over the tracked history, Estrella Mountain Regional Park has been rideable on 7 of the last 10 days (very dry and dusty on 3 of them), under a caution advisory on 1, and too wet to ride on 2. Loam also considers soil, slope, tree cover, and drying time.

Soil and terrain at Estrella Mountain Regional Park

Estrella Mountain Regional Park is a mountain bike trail network in Phoenix & Scottsdale, AZ. Soil data at the sampled location is classified as rocky loam. Open tree cover can allow more sun and wind exposure, helping drying. Terrain data indicates an elevation of about 1,342 ft, an average terrain slope of 1.4° and a predominant ESE-facing aspect. Terrain slope does not measure the trail tread or its drainage features. Loam models conditions across the network; individual trails and constructed surfaces can differ from these environmental inputs. Official closures and conditions on the ground take priority.

How these factors affect drying

SoilRocky loam

The soil data includes about 36% rock fragments. The model uses this to adjust drainage; it does not measure how quickly every trail section dries. Drying behavior is modeled from the soil classification, not measured directly on the trail.

CanopyOpen 0%

Open tree cover can allow more sunlight and wind to reach the ground. Terrain, weather and trail construction also affect drying.

TerrainGentle

Gentle terrain can allow water to linger, but slope alone does not establish whether water pools on a trail.

FAQ

Can you ride Estrella Mountain Regional Park right now?

The current estimate for Estrella Mountain Regional Park is DRY: rideable. Rideable now. No significant rain in the forecast. 2.0″ of rain, 3d ago.

Is Estrella Mountain Regional Park muddy right now?

Loam currently estimates dry conditions (DRY). The drying model accounts for about 36% rock fragments in the soil data. 2.0″ of rain, 3d ago.

What is the soil and trail surface like at Estrella Mountain Regional Park?

The soil data at the sampled location is classified as rocky loam. This describes an environmental input, not a survey of every trail surface.

How long does Estrella Mountain Regional Park take to dry after rain?

Estrella Mountain Regional Park has no fixed drying time. Rainfall, soil moisture, shade and the weather that follows all matter. The model accounts for about 36% rock fragments in the soil data, but that does not establish a recovery time. Check the current estimate and wait until the trail surface is firm.

Can you ride Estrella Mountain Regional Park after rain?

Rock fragments influence the drying model, but softer trail sections may need more time. Wait until the surface is firm. Check the current estimate before heading out, and turn back if your tires leave ruts.

What does a frozen condition mean at Estrella Mountain Regional Park?

FROZEN means Loam estimates snow cover or frozen ground. It does not establish that riding is allowed or that every trail is frozen. Check posted winter access rules and watch for soft ground as temperatures rise.

What's the terrain and elevation like at Estrella Mountain Regional Park?

Terrain data indicates an elevation of about 1,342 ft, an average terrain slope of 1.4° and a predominant ESE-facing aspect. Terrain slope does not measure the trail tread or its drainage features.

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Network profile

Network profile

Soil
Rocky loamdrainage input · modeled
Terrain
Gentleterrain slope
Tree cover
0%Open
Elevation
1,342 ft
Average grade
1.4°
Predominant aspect
ESE-facing

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