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Collins Bay

Mountain bike trail conditions · Kawarthas & Quinte, ON, Canada 44.221° N  76.616° W   305 FT Verified

PRIME: Rideable now

No significant rain in the forecast.

Recent rain
1.0″ of rain, 2d ago
Today
72°Fcloudy
Last 10 daysoldest to newest

Updated Aug 26, 2026, 19:56 UTC. Modeled hourly. Official closures and current trail conditions take priority.

Is Collins Bay rideable today?

Yes. The live verdict is PRIME, rideable now. 1.0″ of rain, 2d ago.

Trail outlook

0.6″
1.0″
0.3″
FORECAST
STAY OFF 7d 2026-08-19: 0.60 inches of rain, representative trail outlook STAY OFF
PRIME 6d 2026-08-20: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
PRIME 5d 2026-08-21: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
PRIME 4d 2026-08-22: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
STAY OFF 3d 2026-08-23: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook STAY OFF
STAY OFF 2d 2026-08-24: 1.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook STAY OFF
STAY OFF 1d 2026-08-25: 0.00 inches of rain, representative trail outlook STAY OFF
72° PRIME Today 2026-08-26: 0.00 inches of rain, Cloudy, representative trail outlook PRIME
76° PRIME THU 2026-08-27: 0.00 inches of forecast rain, Cloudy, representative trail outlook PRIME
71° PRIME FRI 2026-08-28: 0.00 inches of forecast rain, Overcast, representative trail outlook PRIME
71° PRIME SAT 2026-08-29: 0.00 inches of forecast rain, Overcast, representative trail outlook PRIME
81° PRIME SUN 2026-08-30: 0.30 inches of forecast rain, Rain, representative trail outlook PRIME
Measured rain Forecast rain Above soft threshold (0.5″)
Over the tracked history, Collins Bay has been rideable on 5 of the last 10 days, under a caution advisory on 1, and too wet to ride on 4. Daily trail markers are representative daytime outlooks. Weather is one input. The rideability verdict also accounts for soil, terrain, canopy, and drying time.

Why Collins Bay dries this way

Collins Bay is a mountain bike network in the Kawarthas & Quinte region of ON, Canada, riding on not surveyed soil that middle estimate over terrain that holds water and dries slowly. Heavy tree cover holds the damp in, so it stays wet longer than the sky overhead would suggest. What really sets the timing here is how quickly that ground gives back a firm, dry surface, not what the day’s forecast says. The SW-facing aspect soaks up sun through the middle of the day, which speeds drying and opens the season earlier, and the nearly flat terrain, about a 1.3° average grade at 305 ft, lets water sit, so the flat stretches are the last to firm up.

Network profile

Soil
Not surveyedmiddle estimate · modeled
Drainage
Holds waterdries slowly
Tree cover
99%Dense
Elevation
305 ft
Average grade
1.3°
Predominant aspect
SW-facing
How these factors affect drying

SoilNot surveyed

Soil survey data does not reach this spot, so the drying model assumes middle-of-the-road ground rather than guessing at a soil type. Everything else in this forecast is measured, but expect the drying estimate here to be less precise than at networks with surveyed soil.

CanopyDense 99%

Heavy tree cover shades the soil and blocks wind, so these trails dry slowly and can hold morning damp even after dry days.

TerrainHolds water

Water tends to pool and linger here rather than running off, so the surface can stay damp well after the weather clears.

Around Collins Bay

FAQ

Can you ride Collins Bay right now?

As of the latest update, Collins Bay is Rideable now (PRIME). No significant rain in the forecast. 1.0″ of rain, 2d ago.

Is Collins Bay muddy right now?

No. The current verdict is PRIME, which means the model reads the surface as dry. 1.0″ of rain, 2d ago.

What is the soil and trail surface like at Collins Bay?

Collins Bay sits on not surveyed soil that middle estimate. Soil survey data does not reach this spot, so the drying model assumes middle-of-the-road ground rather than guessing at a soil type. Everything else in this forecast is measured, but expect the drying estimate here to be less precise than at networks with surveyed soil.

How long does Collins Bay take to dry after rain?

Collins Bay usually needs about a day or two to dry after meaningful rain. Its terrain holds water in low spots, which slows it. Heavy tree cover slows drying further.

Can you ride Collins Bay after rain?

Usually yes, once the surface has had time to firm up, typically a day or two after meaningful rain. Rather than counting days, check the live verdict above: it already accounts for how much rain actually fell here and how fast this exact ground, with its slope and tree cover, gives back a firm, dry surface.

Does Collins Bay get snow in winter?

Rarely. Collins Bay sits low and mild enough (around 305 ft) that snow seldom affects riding; conditions are driven by rain and drying. Loam still flags FROZEN on the rare freeze.

What's the terrain and elevation like at Collins Bay?

Collins Bay sits at roughly 305 feet, faces mostly SW, and averages a 1.3° grade with about 99% tree cover. That makes it a sunny, fast-drying network, and the nearly flat grade means it holds puddles in the flats. Loam models this exact ground against live weather rather than using one regional forecast.

When is the best time of year to ride Collins Bay?

There is no real off-season at Collins Bay: snow rarely interferes, so good days come down to rain and how fast the dirt dries. Its sunny aspect helps it come back fast after storms. The live verdict above reflects today.

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