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Mission Creek

Mountain bike trail conditions · Duluth, MN 46.679° N  92.278° W   883 FT Verified

STAY OFF: Active damage risk

Monday, November 9th Drying to Caution.

Recent rain
0.7″ of rain, 4h ago
Today
49°Flight rain
  • Mon 10/26, no measurable rain, daily high 45 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Tue 10/27, 0.83 inches of rain, daily high 49 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY then STAY OFF
  • Wed 10/28, 0.37 inches of rain, daily high 54 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Thu 10/29, no measurable rain, daily high 48 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Fri 10/30, no measurable rain, daily high 53 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF then CAUTION then DRY
  • Sat 10/31, no measurable rain, daily high 48 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY
  • Sun 11/1, 0.14 inches of rain, daily high 62 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY then STAY OFF then CAUTION then DRY
  • Mon 11/2, 1.15 inches of rain, daily high 57 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: DRY then CAUTION then STAY OFF
  • Tue 11/3, 0.60 inches of rain, daily high 60 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Wed 11/4, 0.74 inches of rain, daily high 54 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Today, Thu 11/5, 0.09 inches of rain, daily high 49 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Fri 11/6, no measurable rain, daily high 36 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Sat 11/7, no measurable rain, daily high 49 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Sun 11/8, no measurable rain, daily high 58 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF
  • Mon 11/9, no measurable rain, daily high 59 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: STAY OFF then CAUTION, forecast preview, beyond the free window
  • Tue 11/10, no measurable rain, daily high 50 degrees Fahrenheit, modeled conditions: CAUTION, forecast preview, beyond the free window
Updated

Updated Thursday, November 5th, 2026 at 12:47 UTC. Verdict last changed: Tuesday, November 3rd. Official closures and current trail conditions take priority.

Modeled hourly. Closures and local conditions take priority.

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Is Mission Creek rideable today?

Not right now. The live verdict is STAY OFF: the ground is wet enough that riding would damage the trail. 0.7″ of rain, 4h ago.

CHANGED
Monday, November 2nd at 12pm
Rain moved in. Verdict dropped to STAY OFF.
Friday, October 30th at 8am
Dried back to CAUTION.
Tuesday, October 27th at 5am
Rain moved in. Verdict dropped to STAY OFF.
Over the tracked history, Mission Creek has been rideable on 1 of the last 10 days, under a caution advisory on 3, and too wet to ride on 6. Loam also considers soil, slope, tree cover, and drying time.

Soil and terrain at Mission Creek

Mission Creek is a mountain bike trail network in Duluth, MN. Soil data at the sampled location is classified as sandy. Sandy soil can help drainage, while dense tree cover can slow drying by reducing sun and wind exposure. Terrain data indicates an elevation of about 883 ft, an average terrain slope of 3.7° and a predominant SW-facing aspect. Terrain slope does not measure the trail tread or its drainage features. Trails here include Indigenous Land, Cathedral and Valley. Loam models conditions across the network; individual trails and constructed surfaces can differ from these environmental inputs. Official closures and conditions on the ground take priority.

How these factors affect drying

SoilSandy

Sandy soil generally allows water to drain readily. Rainfall, shade and trail construction also affect recovery. The model uses surveyed water-retention values, not measured trail recovery times.

CanopyDense 84%

Dense tree cover can reduce sunlight and wind at ground level, slowing drying. Its effect depends on weather and local openings.

TerrainModerate

Moderate terrain slope is one input to the drying model. Local drainage also depends on soil and trail construction.

FAQ

Can you ride Mission Creek right now?

The current estimate for Mission Creek is STAY OFF: active damage risk. Expected rideable in ~4 days. No significant rain before then. 0.7″ of rain, 4h ago.

Is Mission Creek muddy right now?

Likely. The current estimate is STAY OFF: the ground is wet enough that riding could leave ruts. Sandy soil usually drains quickly. 0.7″ of rain, 4h ago.

What is the soil and trail surface like at Mission Creek?

The soil data at the sampled location is classified as sandy. This describes an environmental input, not a survey of every trail surface.

How long does Mission Creek take to dry after rain?

Mission Creek has no fixed drying time. Rainfall, soil moisture, shade and the weather that follows all matter. Check the current estimate and wait until the trail surface is firm.

Can you ride Mission Creek after rain?

Sandy soil can help drainage, but heavier rain, shade and the trail surface also affect recovery. Wait until the surface is firm. Check the current estimate before heading out, and turn back if your tires leave ruts.

What does a frozen condition mean at Mission Creek?

FROZEN means Loam estimates snow cover or frozen ground. It does not establish that riding is allowed or that every trail is frozen. Check posted winter access rules and watch for soft ground as temperatures rise.

What trails are at Mission Creek?

Trails at Mission Creek include Indigenous Land, Cathedral, Valley, Loki and St. Louis River Trail. This is a partial list. The condition estimate covers the whole network, so individual trails may differ.

What's the terrain and elevation like at Mission Creek?

Terrain data indicates an elevation of about 883 ft, an average terrain slope of 3.7° and a predominant SW-facing aspect. Terrain slope does not measure the trail tread or its drainage features.

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Network profile

Network profile

Soil
Sandydrainage input
Terrain
Moderateterrain slope
Tree cover
84%Dense
Elevation
883 ft
Average grade
3.7°
Predominant aspect
SW-facing

Named trails

  • Indigenous Land
  • Cathedral
  • Valley
  • Loki
  • St. Louis River Trail

This is a partial trail list. The condition estimate covers the whole network. Trail names from public agency data and © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Around Mission Creek